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Steel & Metal
- Poland -

European Steel Demand to Recover Only Modestly

European steel demand is expected to rebound slightly from record lows, but the pace and extent of recovery remain uncertain. Industry experts at a recent market conference noted that while EU industrial activity may improve, factors such as high energy costs, trade disruptions, and geopolitical tensions continue to cloud the outlook.

Forecasts suggest that real demand could begin to pick up by late 2025 or early 2026, though the recovery will likely be uneven across regions. For example, Poland and Germany are experiencing different demand dynamics due to their varying industrial dependencies.

Market participants also highlighted the erosion of traditional economic and restocking cycles, with many buyers continuing to reduce inventories amid persistent uncertainty.

Iron ore futures extend gains as China outlines stricter steel capacity controls

Baosteel Q3 net profit jumps 130% on demand recovery and resilient exports

LME proposes permanent curbs on large nearby positions amid depleted stocks, zinc squeeze

China lifts curbs on Hancock Prospecting’s MB fines purchases, easing iron ore trade friction

China’s CISA mills lift early‑October crude steel output 7.5%; inventories also climb

India’s steelmakers seek relief from import curbs as H1 met coke shortfall widens

China iron ore futures slip; Tangshan concentrate prices steady amid tight supply

Indonesia suspends all scrap metal imports after radioactive contamination detected

Serbia asks EU to exempt it from proposed new steel tariffs and quota cuts

U.S. judge signals approval of Rio Tinto’s $138.75 million Oyu Tolgoi investor settlement

Rio Tinto says strong Q4 needed to hit iron‑ore target after Q3 shipments of 84.3 mt; China demand firm

ArcelorMittal’s M&A chief in South Africa for talks on sale of local unit, sources say

EU plan to halve steel import quotas and double out‑of‑quota tariff to 50% raises Indian export risk

Copper tops $11,000/t on LME as supply disruptions and fund buying lift prices